Simple chance and likelihood language
Use visible outcomes to describe impossible, certain, more likely, less likely, and equally likely events without formal probability fractions.
Core · Simple chance and likelihood language · Independent practice · Single Choice
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Watch: Watch whether the child selects Less likely after comparing the one rabbit card with the four owl cards; the decisive evidence is the unequal count of equally likely cards.
Misread: A More likely choice may mean the child reversed the comparison, counted picture types instead of cards, or focused on Owl instead of Rabbit; one response does not show which cause.
Curriculum: Compares the relative likelihood of two outcomes by counting equally likely elementary outcomes, then selects the correct chance-language relation without formal probability notation.